Ukuthuthukiswa cyclical komnotho: kwezimbangela eziyinhloko nemiphumela

Imvelo cyclical ukuthuthukiswa komnotho - kuba isici umgomo okuyinto obonwa bonke oSomnotho yesimanje. Bakholelwa ukuthi uhlelo emakethe ngeke kube khona kungekho uhlangabezana ngezikhathi ezithile ube nezikhathi ezinzima nezimnandi. Ukuthuthukiswa cyclical emnothweni - lena nokuthile ababengambeka zonke kufanele kubhekwe, ngoba kunomthelela oqonde ngqo noma ngokungaqondile ku tonkhe tifundvo: ngemakhaya ngabanye, futhi isimo sisonke. Kodwa yini ebangela ukuvela ngasikhathi sinye recessions nendlela ukuthatha bayolwa?

ukuthuthukiswa lokujikeleza emakethe umnotho - yilokhu Kuvame yilabo abamele esikoleni Soviet, kuyilapho iqophelo indlela zokuphatha-umyalo ukulawula lonke uhlelo. Zazithi isiqondiso eyodwa kuphela ziqede nokuzwela ekwehleni kwamandla omnotho kanye nezibhelu ezilandela lokhu. Mhlawumbe lokhu kuyiqiniso. Kodwa manje ibhekene ukuthi emnothweni umyalo impela Umqansa - kungcono ngumbuzo omkhulu.

Izazi eziningi zanamuhla uyavuma ukuthi ukuthuthukiswa cyclical komnotho ushintsho izigaba umsebenzi ibhizinisi - ke kuyinto iqiniso inhloso, ukushintsha ukuthi umuntu akakwazi ukwenza. Njengoba ungeke ukwazi ukufunda utho ngaphandle kokwenza amaphutha, kanye nezolimo ungeke ukwazi ukuya esigabeni esisha ukuthuthukiswa, asizange sisinde obumbi. Ukuthuthukiswa cyclical komnotho ibonisa isimo lapho uhlelo iphelelwe ibhalansi ukuze, kokuba walulama, baletha usesikhathini. Inkinga - nenani eliphakeme aphansi lomjikelezo ukukhula. Eza amafomu eziningana:

1) K. Zhuglara (iminyaka 7-11) - ezihlobene ekushintshashintsheni kokutshalwa kwezimali ezimpahleni ezingasuki;

. 2) J. Kitchin (iminyaka 2-4) - imbangela elisemandleni izinguquko reserves wezwe igolide;

3) N. Kondratiev (iminyaka 50-60) - ezihlobene intuthuko kwezesayensi nakwezobuchwepheshe nokufeza yayo.

Ngaphezu obumbi, kunezigaba ezintathu eziphawula ukuthuthukiswa cyclical komnotho, ukucindezeleka yokutakula nokukhula. Ahluke ivolumu izinkomba ezifana GDP (umkhiqizo wonyaka wonke ohlangene), GNP (okwedlulele umkhiqizo kazwelonke) kanye ND (ingeniso kazwelonke). Lonke umjikelezo luhlukaniswe zici ezilandelayo:

1) isiqongo (iphuzu lapho okukhiphayo esingesikhulu kakhulu);

2) Ukuncipha (isikhathi lapho kukhona ukwehla kancane kancane ukukhululwa);

3) Ngezansi (iphuzu elimelela isikhashana lapho kukhululwa incane);

4) kuyanda (isikhathi lapho ukukhiqizwa kancane kancane ngcono).

Ukuthuthukiswa cyclical komnotho ingaphinda emelelwa ucabangela alternation ekuphumeni eziphonsa igagasi, okuyinto kunomthelela omkhulu kuzo zombili wonke umnotho kanye nasezweni lonke futhi abadlali kwezomnotho ngabanye. Kodwa kuvela, nezinkinga zingenzeka esikhathini elinesimo yokutakula jikelele noma upturn emnothweni. Lokhu okuthiwa zinhlekelele Lesisemkhatsini ukuthi kukhona sendawo imvelo kaningi. Abanaso ukumboza wonke umnotho sisonke kanye nezimboni ngabanye noma ezindaweni umsebenti wetemnotfo. imiphumela Okuningi ezinzima libhekene zinhlekelele kwesakhiwo namatjhuguluko ukuthi kukhona isikhathi eside futhi ziyabonakala ekuqhubeni ngasinye ngabanye.