Investment elikhangayo ibhizinisi kanye ukubikezela womsebenzi utshalomali we amabhizinisi we embonini yezokwakha

Enterprise of embonini yezokwakha - production eziyinkimbinkimbi futhi isimiso sezomnotho libhekene inhlanganisela izakhiwo, kuhlangene izici zayo zangaphakathi. Lezi zihlanganisa: nokwethenjelwa, eguquguqukayo, ukuhamba, nezimo, kugcineke, ukuncintisana, emisha ezifweni, utshalomali, lokubonakala Dynamics ukushuba utshalomali, isikali, focus bese ukusebenza kokutshalwa yayo, isikhalazo utshalomali ibhizinisi lonke.

Ezimweni zanamuhla, kuchazwe umncintiswano omkhulu embonini kanye saturation izinhlobo bendabuko imikhiqizo (amasevisi), inzuzo kunikezwa labo izinkampani zokwakha ukuthi babe kuqhathaniswa high value emakethe, ogama ukukhula awutholakali ngaphandle ezengeziwe izinsiza utshalomali ukuze kuphelele ezimpahleni ezingasuki phansi futhi zamanje, ukuqaliswa izinyathelo ukuthuthukisa umkhiqizo ukuncintisana, ukuthuthukiswa kwamabhizinisi kanye ngcono utshalomali elikhangayo.

Ukwandisa ukukhanga utshalomali lenkampani eqala ukuphathwa utshalomali umsebenzi, ngokusobala okuyinto kuyinto ipharamitha ebaluleke kakhulu enkampanini yokwakha.

Uhlelo womsebenzi utshalomali zokuphatha imisebenzi ugcizelela ukuhlela, okuvumela ngesisekelo idatha umhlahlo ukunquma kunjongo yomsebenzi utshalomali tesifundvo zokuphatha, izindlela ekuhlangabezaneni nayo. Investment ukukhanga ibhizinisi kuleli su lobuciko lomkhakha wezolimo ihlose ukwandisa utshalomali kanye nokugcinwa ezingeni layo elikhulu.

Imikhawulo ukuhlela utshalomali nime niqinile inqubo ukubikezela umphumela okuyizinto ambalwa value izibikezelo Inkomba utshalomali (izinkomba kwesakhiwo) esikhathini esizayo, ezingeni esibucayi womsebenzi utshalomali ibhizinisi esakhiweni, ukuzuzwa okuholela izinguquko qualitative value emakethe yayo. Njengoba sazi ukuthi elikhangayo utshalomali ibhizinisi kudinga ube nombono olinganiselayo, bulukhuni yenqubo ukubikezela kanye nezidingo izinga lemiphumela, kungenzeka ukuhlola value izibikezelo izinkomba utshalomali usebenzisa izindlela eziningana.

Ikhumbula ezicini eziningana: ngqo into ukuqagela (ukukhanga utshalomali lenkampani, umsebenzi wayo futhi izinkomba kwesakhiwo), ukutholakala imininingwane yezibalo maqondana into, lo esimaphakathi ayiphathelene, kungcono ukusebenzisa inqubo utshalomali we isakhiwo ibhizinisi izindlela ukubikezela extrapolation. umbandela Silinganisele kwesicelo yalezi zindlela ngezinga elithile inertia the Dynamics utshalomali we amabhizinisi isakhiwo esikhathini esifushane naphakathi.

izindlela Extrapolation esekelwe engqondweni, phakathi kwesikhathi lapho kwakhiwa into ashukumisayo imodeli isibikezelo: uhlu utshalomali ibhizinisi esakhiweni, imingcele yayo kwesakhiwo nokusatshalaliswa izitayela izinkomba esikhathini zokuhlola lekusasa.

Ucwaningo luye lwabonisa ukuthi ukuze kutholakale inani prognostic izinkomba of embonini yezokwakha amabhizinisi umsebenzi ezithembisa ukusetshenziswa yalezi zindlela ezilandelayo:

• Ukuqondanisa kohlaziyo;

• Simple bushelelezi lomchazi;

• bushelelezi lomchazi Holt-Winters;

• bushelelezi uBrown lomchazi.

Zonke lezi zindlela zisekelwe umbono ukuthi onjalo utshalomali nokuncenga kwamabhizinisi kanye namazinga ashukumisayo kuncike kumaphuzu izinkomba zemisebenzi yayo utshalomali ngesikhathi izici.