Lapho Inkinga iphelile eRussia? Indlela ukusinda obumbi

Takhamuti telive yethu Sekuyisikhathi eside ejwayele yokuthi ezweni nabanye iziphazamiso, kukhona zinhlekelele wezimali omusha. EMpumalanga eRussia kwenzeke kaningi ukuthi cishe zonke Russian iyakwazi ukwenza ke phinda ufake uma inkathi ukungazinzi. Inkinga yokungabi isimiso sezomnotho - uhlobo yokuhlola isimo, okuyinto akufanele kuphela kudlule, ngokushesha ngangokunokwenzeka, kodwa ukulahlekelwa omncane. Ingabe-ke eRussia ukuze ubhekane ngokuphumelelayo nalesi nobunzima ngonyaka 2015-2016, ke kuseyimpicabadala abahlaziyi usanda ukuchaza.

Bomnotho, njengoba kunjalo

Namuhla zonke izakhamuzi Russia wazi kahle ukuthi le nkinga esibhekene nayo - lokhu kubi, kodwa siyini bomnotho? Kanjani ncamashi kwenzeka futhi kungaba kungagwenywa, ukwazi eyodwa kuphela. nciphisa lwezezimali - a destabilization kohlelo lwezezimali isimo, lapho esiphezulu izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali iyabonakala, futhi izimakethe lwemali kanye nezinga exchange engasimeme. Lapho Inkinga iphelile eRussia, kunzima ukusho, kodwa ochwepheshe upheqa kakade Dynamics omuhle kwezinye izindawo komnotho. ochwepheshe abaningi bayaqiniseka ngokugcwele ukuthi into ebaluleke kakhulu namuhla - iyona isimo emphakathini wethu. Phela, uvalo ngokuvamile uholela nje kuphela imiphumela engemihle ukuthi namuhla WaseRussia okungalungile ngokuphelele. Labantu bayothola enye inkathi enzima oyoletha ukulahlekelwa ngokwezimali nje kuphela, kodwa futhi abahambisele nendathane yezinye izinkinga. Kuyoze kube nini le nkinga esibhekene nayo eRussia engaqinisekile, kodwa ngokucacile nesikhathi kuncike ukuthi yini ozoyenza kule nkinga sabantu nguMbuso. Uma namuhla abantu oyobuthela, futhi ngeke ukukhuthazelela ubunzima ngokuzethemba, ukuthi lesi sikhathi angase agcine kuneNingizimu ochwepheshe babikezela. Ngokwesibonelo, abahlaziyi abaningi ngonyaka odlule wayekholelwa ukuthi ruble oyohlala isikhathi eside kakhulu ezansi, kodwa empeleni konke kwakwehlukile.

Umlando wesimo ku Russian Federation

Inkinga - inkolelo yokungafi cyclical. Mhlawumbe kungenxa yalesi sizathu ukuthi iyaphindwa ezweni lethu nge ukuzinza ezithile. Lapho Inkinga iphelile eRussia, yebo, kunzima ukusho, kodwa akudingeki ukuba uchithe ukuze ukukhumbula konke eMpumalanga esidlule, isikhathi esiningi.

Wonke umuntu uyakhumbula ekupheleni ehlobo lika-1998, lapho ensimini ka eRussia okokuqala yokuqala kokuba nezinkinga zomnotho. Ngokusho abahlaziyi, kwaba obumbi esinzima kakhulu emlandweni ukuba khona kwezimangaliso Russian Federation, ngoba ukwehla kwaba mayelana 2.5-3 izikhathi, futhi amanani lenyuke ngamaphesenti 44%, okungase kubhekwe inhlekelele kweqiniso ngabantu zisetshenziselwa esitebeleni walinganisa ukuphila. Kodwa ngisho ngaleso sikhathi, amaRashiya baye babhekana nezinkinga, ukuze sisinde kule nkinga, abantu bethu bazi kangcono kunanoma ubani omunye. Yiqiniso, abaningi Ngisakhumbula ngokwesaba okukhulu nokuntengantenga ka 1998-1999, okwakukhona kuwo ngenxa ushintsho ezinkulu ezifana ezweni lethu. Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi uHulumeni sezithathe izinyathelo sasivumela elawula ukubhekana nalesi simo-ke, kodwa umzalele izithelo. Mhlawumbe namuhla ubuholi Russian CABANGA, ukusebenza ngendlela efanayo. Kodwa lokhu kungamampunge nje kuphela.

Ngemva kwasani ayehle kakhulu amandla emali e 1998-1999, isikhathi ezolile, futhi wokugoqa eziphindaphindiwe kakade kowezi-2000. Inkinga yokungabi 2008-2009 esiyokhunjulwa ukuthi umengameli "e-United States wenanela crisis" Russia uVladimir Putin akubiza kanjalo. Lokhu yokuwa komnotho ubephelezelwa isimo sokuntenga komnotho ezweni enamandla kakhulu, kodwa ke ngempumelelo uhlelo kahulumeni ukusiza izwe ngokushesha ngokwanele ukuba sibhekane ngokuphumelelayo nobunzima. Kuyoze kube nini lenkinga Russia, kulokhu-ke kunzima ukucabanga.

I inhlekelele yembulunga yonke futhi Russia

Shono uVladimir Putin obala wathi ngonyaka 2008-2009, kunezinkinga zemali kuleli zwe, kuphela US iwayini. nciphisa embulungeni yonke kowezi-2000 waqala ngempela Melika, kodwa ngonyaka ngaphambi kwe-ke benza eRussia. Ochwepheshe bakholelwa ukuthi ngisho kusukela ngaleso sikhathi zaqala ukuwa kwezomnotho kanye zisekhona ukuwohloka komnotho wamazwe amaningi. Ngeshwa, ukuze ubhekane ngokuphumelelayo nalesi izinto ezifana negative, kokubili phakathi neminyaka 2007-2009, kwakungenakwenzeka kuwo wonke amazwe, abaningi kangaka namanje sisonqenqemeni.

Njengoba wazi, ngalesi sikhathi, ngokokuqala ngqa eminyakeni eminingi, i-GDP emhlabeni wabonisa umkhuba omubi, awela 0.7%. Abahlaziyi laphawula kanye nenombolo irekhodi abangasebenzi, ngoba abantu abangaba yizigidi ezingu-199. Abantu abangu emgwaqeni. Kunzima ukucabanga ukuthi kwenzekeni phakathi nale nkathi uthi iningi. Izwe linenkinga, ayikho indawo ukusebenza, imikhiqizo ezibizayo, futhi izinga lokuphila uye Ngafaka kwaze kwaba sekugcineni. Akumangazi ukuthi ochwepheshe uqhathanise le nkathi nge Yokuwohloka Okukhulu, owenzeka ngo-ezikude 1930. Yingaleso sikhathi lapho abantu okwadingeka abhekane nezinkinga ezicishe zifane nezakho, kanye Izakhamuzi zezwe lethu, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi. Nakuba, kufanele kuphawulwe ukuthi inkinga eFrance naseJalimane - akuyona kuyefana nalokho okwenzekayo eRussia ngaleso sikhathi sezinxushunxushu ezazingakaze zezimali kuleli zwe. The French namaJalimane ngesikhathi bomnotho esilandelayo, vele ukhethe yokungcebeleka eshibhile noma ukhansele yezitolo njalo, ngokungafani kuya izakhamuzi wethu, londoloza cishe ngakho konke. Kodwa Russia uye wabhekana ngokuphumelelayo nobunzima ngalesi sikhathi, nakuba abahlaziyi abaningi abathi ukuthi izinkinga eziningi babevele ahlehliswa.

Izimbangela yalesibhicongo 2014-2015,

Nembala, uma ngaleso sikhathi uhulumeni esebeke lemali umzamo, kungenzeka ukuthi namuhla bakwazi ukugwema omunye wokugoqa. Kodwa kwesimo somnotho kuye futhi ehlelwa Russia nase siyishaye nge bang. Nakuba, ukuthi akuyona ochwepheshe kuphela izingcingo izimbangela ukuwa ngonyaka 2014-2015. Ukuqala obumbi eRussia wabhekana nezenzakalo e-Ukraine, futhi abahlaziyi abaningi bakholelwa ukuthi lokhu kwaba isisusa esiyinhloko. unswinyo Western ekuphenduleni ukubusa eCrimea zithinteka kakhulu omubi emnothweni Russia nase antisanktsii okwengeziwe zaba zimbi isimo ezweni lethu. Isimo geopolitical isidluliselwe umkhawulo, intengo kawoyela uwile ngokucijile, futhi emakethe yezimali njengoba akabonisanga ugesi ezimbi. Kuleli qophelo, izinkinga zezomnotho waseRussia uye kuphela nje siqalile, futhi kakade cishe yonke abahlaziyi bathi ngeke luphele. ngokushesha ochwepheshe abaningi baqala ukukhuluma ngentshiseko ngalokho ukuwa kwezomnotho ungabhubhisi Russia kuphela njengezwe yimpumelelo, kodwa uma nje edlule. Akumangazi ukuthi okumbalwa ezakhamizi zethu ulalele umbono ososayensi zezombusazwe nabahlaziyi abazama ukukhuluma ngalokho okuyokwenzeka eRussia esikhathini esizayo esiseduze.

Imfundiso yokuziphendukela sokusinda esimweni esibucayi

Izwe linenkinga. Futhi akusiyo nje enye izinkinga zezimali futhi abe nezinkinga ezingathi sína ezenza ngisho Central Bank kuholwa uhulumeni. Lwezezimali emakethe imibukiso ukunqabela ngokucijile, Ruble uquleke bethukile izakhamuzi esindiswa imali esiyongile sithenge zabo ezihlukahlukene izinkomba. Ukhiye izinga liphuma ematfuba emahhovisi exchange ahlale. I bezimali ngokwethukela uvume abo futhi bathi imbangela kwalenxushunxushu - kungcono befisa ukuthola inzuzo, ngubani ukusizakala destabilization ukuthi isimo siyini, waqala bezikhandla emakethe. Lapho Inkinga iphelile eRussia, kodwa akekho owaziyo ukuthi kungani wonke umuntu uzama ngangokunokwenzeka ukulungiselela isikhathi eside zokucindezeleka nezemali. Ngokuhamba baqiniseka zonke kwezezimali ezingaba okungenani isithembiso izakhamuzi sithole noma ukuphepha. Ngesikhathi isiqongo, njalo kukhona imali noma ukuvikeleka kwamasheya ezinkampanini zasekhaya. AmaRashiya kuthiwa bakamalalahlengezela ukuthenga zamadola bese uthumela imali yabo yokugcina emakethe yezimali. Ngokuvamile, lesi simo iqhubeka namuhla, ngakho-ke kunengqondo ukukhuluma mayelana nezindlela ongaletha ngenzuzo esiphezulu zimali kulonyaka, ngoba into embi kakhulu kungenziwa namhlanje - iwukugcina ikhaya ruble. On kanjani ngokuphumelelayo manje bezikhali zimali is bachithe imali yabo kuzoncika nomholo yayo kusasa, ngokuvumelana ochwepheshe.

ezifakwa emabhange

Akumangazi ukuthi ithuluzi sokuqala ngqa zezimali okubhekwa izakhamuzi zaseRussia ekupheleni 2014 - ebhange. Isibikezelo zezomnotho-Russia Ezwa kakhulu omubi kule nkathi, futhi kubalulekile ukuthi abatshalizimali ukugcina imali yabo ngenkathi kakhulu uhola. Imali kumele enze inzuzo - mthetho engabhaliwe siyenzeka namuhla cishe wonk 'umuntu. Futhi lapho besekuhluphekeni kwezomnotho kubalulekile ukulondoloza ukusekelwa ngokwezimali ngesimo engenayo yekwentiwa. Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi Central Bank uye wazikhandla ukuze zenzalo yokuzigcina ezifakwa likhanga kakhulu (isibonelo, uye wasiphakamisela ngokuphindaphindiwe lokuma senzalo, okwenza ezifakwa emabhange njengoba ezikhangayo zimali ngenxa eziphezulu zenzalo, ngisho ruble ezifakwa), ngakho iningi zimali, ngisho akungabazeki, ngokuthumela imali yabo ebhange nganoma eziphezulu zenzalo. Ngeshwa, kule minyaka yamuva Central Bank waqala ngenkuthalo ukwehlisa izinga ukhiye, okwenza ezifakwa akuyona njengoba inzuzo njengoba ngonyaka odlule, ngakho zimali kufanele ufune kwezezimali entsha manje. Vele namuhla, akunandaba mqondo ukutshala imali ebhange, uma kukhona amathuluzi oholela kangcono zezimali ukuthi kungaqinisekisa zimali engenayo ezinzile.

amatshe ayigugu emakethe namuhla

Indlela ukusinda obumbi futhi ngaleyo ndlela futhi ukwenza ukwazi labo zimali abakhuthalele ukusebenza kwezezimali ezifana amatshe ayigugu emakethe. Ekupheleni kuka-2014, izazi eziningi musa batusa ukuthi abatshali bezimali ukutshala kulesi siqondiso. Igolide akugcini nje walahlekelwa sikhalo salo, kodwa Wacishe ngokumelene isizinda ekukhuleni komnotho njengoba nokuntengantenga komnotho ezimbi. Empeleni, kuze kube namuhla, abatshalizimali wayengubani ngempela yini inzuzo ukusebenza izinsimbi eziyigugu, kodwa eminyakeni yamuva ounce egolide emakethe usuqalile ukunikela kakhudlwana futhi izazi sashintsha ngokuphelele izibikezelo. Ngokuvamile, phakathi izinsimbi eziyigugu namuhla kukhona bafakizicelo okuqinisekisiwe ukuletha zabanikazi iholo eliphezulu, ezifana ne-platinum, okuyinto uthembisa esikhathini esizayo esiseduze sicela zimali kwandiswe inzuzo. Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi le izinsimbi eziyigugu emakethe bezilokhu kubhekwe enye yezindawo esitebeleni kakhulu futhi inzuzo izindlela utshalomali.

Forex emakethe

Ochwepheshe abaningi bakholelwa ukuthi inhlekelele yembulunga yonke futhi Russia - kukhona imiqondo nolimi. Nokho, ngeke kube yinkinga yembulunga yonke ningathinti isimo ezinkulu ezifana Russia. Kungenxa yalesi sizathu ukuthi abatshali bezimali abaningi ayethanda ukukhetha zibe yizikhali yabo eyinhloko zezimali - emakethe forex, ezingase zilethe umdlali uma engenayo afanelekayo eside. Ngeshwa, ngempela kancane izakhamuzi ezivamile Russian amahhala ukuqala umsebenzi forex. Ngenxa yalesi ezingaba kudinga umdlali ukufunda okungenani izisekelo, nakuba abaningi baye banquma kulo nyaka ukuthatha ngosizo umphathi afanelekayo noma amasevisi inkampani ukuphathwa eziqinisekisa amaklayenti ethu imali nje kuphela, kodwa futhi ukulondeka okuphelele mali. Forex Wabasaqalayo mibandela kwanele ukutshala imali yabo emakethe oluyingozi zezimali ezifana.

Izindlu nezindawo

Nokho, insimbi wokugcina wezimali, okuyinto ubelokhu ukufuneka kakhulu yilabo abatshala izimali, kulo nyaka futhi iyaqhubeka iba ethandwayo namuhla - kungcono ukwabelana izibopho izinkampani zasekhaya. Lapho Inkinga iphelile eRussia, akekho ongasho, kodwa iqiniso ukuthi ukuvikeleka kwamasheya ezinkampanini Russian namuhla kungaletha zabanikazi iholo eliphezulu - kuyiqiniso. Kanye emakethe forex, emakethe yasekhaya ukulo nyaka ekhangayo kakhulu ukuba abatshalizimali ukhululekile ukusebenza nalaba kwezezimali. bamasheya abaningi ukuze uthumele amaphothifoliyo abo utshalomali iphethwe yi- ochwepheshe, ezinye zazo wasebenza bebodwa, kodwa noma kunjalo, umnikeli ngamunye lokhu entwasahlobo angazuza imali ezinkampanini Russian. I-ruble firmed kancane kancane futhi izingcaphuno kweso rose, futhi lokho kwakungenxa yesizathu yokuba babuye okusezingeni eliphezulu zamafa. Kulokhu, ochwepheshe ukugcizelela ukuthi ibhizinisi wezwe lakithi ngonyaka ozayo uzokwazi ukubonisa imiphumela ngisho ephakeme futhi uzinze ngokwengeziwe, okusho ukuthi abatshalizimali kufanele siqhubeke sisebenze lezi kwezezimali futhi esikhathini esizayo.

Isibikezelo 2016

Akumangalisi ukuthi namuhla ingenye izenzakalo ezibaluleke kakhulu ezweni lethu - kuba nenhlekelele eRussia. Izibikezelo kunyaka ozayo kuze ududuza kakhulu, kodwa noma kunjalo ungcono ochwepheshe wayethembise ekupheleni 2014. Kuthiwa ochwepheshe abaningi bagculiseka ukuthi Russia kuyoba isikhathi eside ngangokunokwenzeka ukubuyisela isikhundla salo ngemva kokuwa komnotho olandelayo. Nokho, ngokuphambene izibikezelo, namuhla le ruble kancane kancane reasserting ngokwayo, emakethe amafutha okukhombisa ukukhula, kuyilapho izinkampani zasekhaya bayaqhubeka bezikhandla. Yiqiniso, imiphumela kokuntengantenga eRussia kuyoba nzima, mhlawumbe nzima ngisho kuka eminyakeni eyedlule. Kodwa ngenkathi ochwepheshe bathi ukudlala obumbi bomnotho futhi unswinyo Western iningi izinkampani zasekhaya bakwazi ukuba basebenzise amakhono abo. Professionals abathi ukuthi namuhla, izinhlangano eziningi baye bakwazi ukufinyelela ezingeni entsha ngokuphelele futhi ngaleyo ndlela ubonise izakhamuzi zayo ukuthi azizimbi kuka ezikhungweni aseYurophu. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, izazi wagcizelela yokuthi iningi baseRussia babuthana, ukulungele ukubhekana nezinselele bomnotho uye walungisa esinye ngenxa Russia wakwazi ukumelana ukumelana US kanye EU ingcindezi. Kafushane, izakhamuzi zezwe lethu abakwenzayo namuhla kahle ukuthi uhulumeni okudingeka ukuthi ngokushesha ukuwina wokugoqa wezimali olandelayo. Yiqiniso, namuhla uhulumeni ilungiselela okusalungiswa ohlinzekela ukuncipha okukhulu emiholweni yangempela, kodwa izinyathelo kuphela okwesikhashana ezokunikeza imiphumela kudala njengoba 2017!