Umjikelezo ibhizinisi

Umjikelezo kwezomnotho - ingenye imiqondo esemqoka yomlando ukuthuthukiswa ubudlelwane kwezomnotho. ukukhiqizwa Public libhekene kunyakaza njalo ukuthi ukuphinda ngemva kwenkathi ethile yesikhathi.

Ngokokuqala ngqá isimamise ukuguquguquka zinhlelo zomnotho ezisesimweni yabakhanga uHelen Clark - Economist English, owathi igebe phakathi bomnotho akuyona ngephutha. Ngo ukuthuthukiswa imibono yakhe yomnikelo ezinkulukazi eyenziwe isihloli Russian - ND Kondratiev.

Imfundiso yokuziphendukela umjikelezo ibhizinisi kusekelwe ukushintsha kwezinkathi ezine uchungechunge izigaba oluzayo kokuntengantenga - ukucindezeleka - imvuselelo - ezimatasa.

Crisis limelela uhlelo ukungalingani kwezomnotho, okuholela ukukhiqizwa kwehle futhi stop yayo. Lapho ubudlelwane emakethe lokubonakala Inkinga ukukhiqiza ngokwedlulele, okuyinto kuholele ekwehleni elibukhali amanani. Isibonelo nale nkathi kungabhebhethekisa esekhonza iminyaka krizis1929-1933, lapho amanani US bawile ezingaphezu kuka-50%. Ukwenqaba okukhipha, ngivuka abangasebenzi, falling imali eyiphinda futhi, ngokufanelekile, kuphela ukufunwa izimpahla.

Ukudangala ngesikhathi insalela izimpahla kancane kancane washintsha ngentengo encishisiwe noma ziwohloka. Sales kancane kancane uyalulama, kodwa ukuwa amanani uzoyeka. Iqala ukukhuphuka kancane umthamo production, kodwa ukuhweba akukakabi okusheshayo ijubane ngokwanele. Capital bagxila emabhange, lapho engayitholi isicelo ekukhiqizeni futhi ukuhweba. Lokhu kuholela ekwandeni supply imali futhi aphansi loan zenzalo. Umjikelezo kwezomnotho ingena esigabeni ephakamisa.

Imvuselelo libhekene ukubuyiselwa pre-crisis ukukhiqizwa amavolumu, amanani aphezulu kanye inzuzo amabhizinisi, abasebenzi amaholo. Kancane kancane, ezingeni zokukhiqiza kanye umsebenzi wabuyela oyi-crisis uphawu, ukufinyelela Selilonke.

Inani Eliphakeme - umthwalo omningi zokukhiqiza, esiphezulu isikhathi kungenzeka, ezingeni lelisetulu amanani, inkokhelo futhi isithakazelo.

Umjikelezo kwezomnotho - sekwadlula ngempela ezibanzi. Khishiwe eziningi zezinto eziphilayo yayo. Ngokuvamile, uma kukhulunywa nje, lokhu okulandelayo ezine.

Semisebenzi Kitchin umjikelezo (3-4 iminyaka) - lihlotshaniswa ekushintshashintsheni yegolide emhlabeni kanye nemithetho kwegazi yemali. Umjikelezo esimaphakathi (iminyaka 10-20) Zhuglara (ezimbonini) - lihlotshaniswa izinqubo of the sphere credit ezithinta izinqubo utshalomali; Smith (ukwakhiwa) - ne izibuyekezo zesikhathi izakhiwo ahlukahlukene ukukhiqiza. Yesikhathi eside (iminyaka 45-60) Kondratieff umjikelezo - elihlobene ne emisha.

Zezomnotho babe izincazelo ezahlukene izimbangela imijikelezo shift. Kunezinhlobo ezintathu tindlelanchubo nokuchazwa lesi simo.

Eyokuqala kusekelwe yokuthi umjikelezo kwezomnotho kungenxa izici ezingahlobene isimiso sezomnotho uqobo. Ikakhulu ekushintshashintsheni ukukhiqizwa kuthinte zemvelo kanye nemicimbi zezombusazwe. Umjikelezo wesibili libona njengenhlangano yangaphakathi mkhuba umnotho. Isici esiyinhloko ezinomthelela ushintsho yesimo sezomnotho, le ndlela ubhekwa izibuyekezo cyclical abathintekayo emsebenzini wokukhiqiza dolobha. On ube nezikhathi ezinzima nezimnandi kuthinte Ukuwohloka ukutshalwa kwezimali, izinguquko supply imali, ukuncishiswa umphumela wokuphindaphinda, inhlokodolobha olusha, njll Indlela yesithathu ubona imbangela oscillation ngokuhlangana izinkinga zomnotho zangaphakathi imvelo bangaphandle. Laba kubhekwe njengento eyinhloko, okuchukuluza ukuqala isinyathelo yezici yangaphakathi. The main isici sangaphandle isimo.

Ngakho, umjikelezo kwezomnotho uhlobo olukhethekile ekushintshashintsheni umsebenti wetemnotfo. Guqula kuholela ngemijikelezo kokucindezelwa kanye ukunwetshwa ukukhiqizwa, umsebenzi ibhizinisi, umsebenzi nezinye izinkomba. Imijikelezo Esekela ayahluka ngamandla, isikhathi kanye nezinye izici, kodwa bonke libhekene esigabeni esifanayo.