Kuyini ophumayo poll nalokho luba nomthelela umphumela yokugcina yokhetho

Phuma-poll (Eng. I-poll Phuma) - ngokwezwi nezwi okusho "ophumayo poll" (ngezinye izikhathi ukusebenzisa "eksit-poll") - kakade esetshenziswa amasevisi lwezenhlalo emhlabeni wonke. Kuyini exit poll? Lena inqubo ukuba izakhamuzi ababuziwe, uma baya zokuvota emva ivoti ngasiphi ukhetho. ephumayo imiphumela ye-poll kabanzi emhlabeni ukuzijayeza yokuhlalisana kwabantu isayensi.

imisebenzi Main nomlando umqondo

Kuyini exit poll? Ithola "izibikezelo," op okuyoba umphumela wanoma yikuphi ukhetho ekuqongeleleni ikusasa idatha lwezibalo labavoti zamanje. Izwe lapho ngokokuqala ngqa idatha esetshenziswa ophumayo poll, --United States. Intathelizindaba uWilliam Mitofski lokuqala inhlolovo abantu at the ophumayo, lapho kwakukhona ukhetho of umbusi Kentucky State ngo-1967 Kusukela ngaleso sikhathi, lo mqondo wokuthi enjalo ophumayo poll, wahlala cishe zinjalo. Futhi lesi sihloko sisetshenziswa zonke okhethweni olwedlule ucishe ngempumelelo!

Lisho ukuthini igama elithi? Kuyini exit poll? Inqubo langempela simiswe ngalendlela lelandzelako: kokushiya kusukela zokuvota, eseyifezile wabo batibute ngalokujulile izakhamuzi ngoba bavotela bani. Yiqiniso, lokhu ukudalulwa amagama azo. Uzitshela ukuthi iningi abavoti asikho isizathu ukuphendula amanga, idatha kulezi survey asetshenziselwa wokubuyisana inguqulo eshicilelwe ngokusemthethweni. Ngosuku lokhetho, ubufakazi ophumayo poll kabanzi imbozwe cindezela bese ithelevishini. Imiphumela, njengoba umthetho, manifest esikhathini lapho izigaba isivaliwe.

ngentuthuko zanamuhla

Manje kabanzi ubuchwepheshe Inthanethi - Umhlaba Phuma Poll. Ngalesi ukuthuthukiswa online, ababenelungelo lokungena ke izakhamuzi, ngaphandle kokushiya ekhaya, futhi ngokungaziwa kukhompyutha yakho siqu njalo uvote futhi ngesikhathi esifanele ukuze usungule simo esihle nje mayelana iyiphi imisebenzi zezombangazwe nezenhlalo.

imisebenzi

Phuma poll wenza imisebenzi eyisisekelo - Ulwazi (okubandakanya i-pre-emphakathini imiphumela yanoma yimuphi ukhetho) nezilawuli (okuyinto sehliselwe ukuhlanekezela ubuncane ngamabomu imiphumela yokhetho). Futhi ukwenza idatha eziqinile, abathintekayo izinkampani ezimbili (noma ngaphezulu) ucwaningo nge amanethiwekhi ezimele interviewers. survey Sample nazo ihlukaniswe ezimbili noma ngaphezulu (kuye ngenani izinkampani) soMthetho. Khona-ke ukuqondana yalezi Imiphumela inhlolovo kungenye nenqubo lesezingeni yawo wonkhe umuntfu idatha etholakele.

Kungani abantu abazethembi?

Nokho le miphumela survey akuzona intrinsically Indlela sabantu ngokuvamile akazi ukuthi ophumayo poll. Empeleni nje abatshele elilodwa ukhetho kovota okhethweni kuphela abahlanganyeli oqondile poll. A imiphumela yokugcina zingahluka kusuka imiphumela CRC. Kodwa, ngokuvumelana umkhuba ngamazwe ukuze vo, idatha ophumayo poll, okungenzeka kakhulu, kuyodingeka yephutha okuncane njengoba kuqhathaniswa ngemiphumela langempela wamavoti.

Imiphumela

Kukhona ngokubona abacwaningi, asikho isizathu ukusebenzisa ophumayo poll ukuhlola ukwenzé ngokwethembeka ukhetho. Esimeni lapho main labantu ithemba kulesakhiwo ukhetho, "kusho ophumayo poll" Imiphumela njengoba isilawuli uyomane ayidingeki. Uma ukuzethemba zomphakathi ezifana (noma iqembu labantu) akukho inhlolovo enjalo imane nje kwenza akukho mqondo. Ngoba uma izakhiwo pro-zikahulumeni bebelokhu amandla anele nezisetshenziswa kwezomnotho ukuze Massively Rig asemthethweni namavoti, bese belingisa omuhle ophumayo poll kuyoba kweso! Nokho, ngaphandle kule izinqubo setepolitiki - ophumayo poll - noyedwa ukhetho lanamuhla ayisaxhunyanisiwe abiza!